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Stephen Koukoulas

Stephen Koukoulas is one of Australia’s leading economic visionaries, past Chief Economist of Citibank and Senior Economic Advisor to the Prime Minister.

Few economists have both the global and local experience of Stephen Koukoulas. His background covers the spectrum of economic insight - from his role as Chief Economist of Citibank to Senior Economic Advisor to the Australian Prime Minister.

Stephen’s combination of both public and private sector provides an unparalleled insight into the opportunities and risks of today’s markets. As a speaker Stephen has been called upon to discuss the economy with audiences as diverse as the corporate world to school students - an affirmation of his ability to turn complex economic analysis into terms mere mortals can understand.

In these uncertain financial times, Stephen combines tailored economic overview and analysis with a level of humour and engagement not usually associated with the economics.

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My topics...

If you need a reliable and informed economic forecasting at both local and international levels, look no further. Informed by Stephen's exceptionally broad experience and background, this presentation ties together complex fiscal policy with current macroeconomic data to provide comprehensive insights into how current economic trends will impact your business. This presentation can be tailored to include a wide range of topics including:

  • Where the economy is going
  • Which sectors are strong? Which are in decline?
  • What are the economic opportunities in the near term or over the next few years?
  • Local and international market forces

What are the causes of macroeconomic conditions in Australasia and abroad? How long can the strong Aussie dollar last, what has caused its meteoric rise and what might be its downfall? How do interest rate decisions affect home buyers, small business and corporations? All of these questions and more can be addressed in Stephen's presentation on cause and effect in economics. This presentation can include analysis and information on the influence of:

  • Financial markets and stocks
  • The Aussie dollar
  • Interest rates
  • General and specific taxation conditions (including the effect of the Carbon Tax)
  • The effect of politics on your business segment

House prices, Politics and... Women.

This trifecta of topics from Stephen Koukoulas touches on talking points near and dear to just about every Australian's heart:

CRASH! Did you hear that? That was the sound of the housing market in Australia hitting the brick wall. Prices are down, the banks are making it harder to get a loan and there is a construction boom that is adding to supply. Where to for housing in the year ahead? 

ELECTION: It’s almost upon us, the next Federal election that will pit Labor versus Liberals is just around the corner. And it matters so you and your staff and clients need to pay attention. It matter because tax policy is front and centre – your finances will be impacted depending on which side wins. You need to prepare now for a possible change. 

WOMEN: Stephen used his economic and policy insights to prepare a paper for the Minister for Women on Economic Security for Women. How big is the problem and what to do about the fact that women still earn 15% less than men, will retire with superannuation 40% less than men and that access to childcare not only boosts women’s incomes it enhances their economic security.

See me...

Watch me...

Australia's Housing Market Wall

February 16th 2018

The housing market has hit the wall.

After years of unrelenting strength, house prices are dropping. Not by much, at this stage, but the heat in the Sydney market in particular, has suddenly turned cold.

The fascinating and scary thing is that the price falls are increasingly widespread.

The Australian economy remains in good shape.

October 21st 2017

Calls of housing crashes, banking busts and general gloom will be wrong again.

The housing downturn – what’s it mean for you and the economy?

September 26th 2017

The housing market has peaked with prices no longer growing. At the same time, auction clearance rates are lower and a solid pipeline of new supply – particularly apartments – will soon flood the market in a number of cities and regions.

The big question for business and individuals - how severe will the downturn be and what does it mean for the economy?

Our world in charts

Our world in charts

An old proverb says: “a picture paints a thousand words” and in this book, the pictures are the charts. Our World in Charts has over 150 charts that depict a range of economic, market and social issues. There is a lot of information in each chart and each tells a story which authors Alan Kohler and Stephen Koukoulas explain.

Charts give context. An annual budget deficit of $30 billion sounds a lot, but relative to the size of the economy in 2017 it’s about the average of the last 40 years. A chart can show this. Ask a good economist, “how are you today?” and they should answer, “relative to what?” Charts show how the economy or markets are today relative to the past.

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